Bring out the clowns Race to the winning post

Analysis of the Melbourne City Council registered Council voting tickets show that five candidates are most likely to win spots with the last two spots up for grabs

The following are assured a seat in the Council Chamber

JETTER, Carl	(ACTIVATE MELBOURNE)
OKE, Cathy	(THE GREENS)
LOUEY, Kevin	(McMULLIN-WILSON FOR MELBOURNE'S FUTURE)
KANIS, Jennifer	(FOWLES A FRESH VISION)
SHANAHAN, Brian	(C MELBOURNE GROW - CATHERINE NG)

The last two spots will be a contest of exhaustive ballot between

SNEDDEN, Fiona	(PASSION FOR MELBOURNE)
or
CLARKE, Peter	(MORGAN CLARKE - OUR CITY - YOUR COUNCIL)
and
BINI, Luciano	(ACTIVATE MELBOURNE)
or
ONG, Ken	(TEAM MELBOURNE)
or
SHELTON, Jane	(McMULLIN-WILSON FOR MELBOURNE'S FUTURE)

Ken Ong is expected to win a spot on the Council if the Doyle "Active Melbourne Ticket" polls less then 23% of the vote. Ken Ong picks up the surplus from Peter McMullin/Ken Louey's team (Assuming Jane Shelton is excluded first) ahead of sitting Councillor Fiona Snedden. If Doyle's team polls more then 23% then 70 year old Carlton Lawyer and former ALP member Luciano Bini will be elected instead of Ong. One scenario which had Peter McMulin above 16% showed McMullin's Jane Shelton winning over Ong and Bini. We had factored in a 5% Ong vote but some punters say he will poll less (estimated at 3.5%).

Both Fiona Snedden and Peter Clark will fight it out, in a game of musical chairs, for the last seat. Peter Clark has a distinct advantage in that he collects preferences from both of the Independent candidates ahead of Fiona Snedden. (Both independents preference the Greens Candidate, Cathy Oke, who should be elected on quota of 12,5% primary vote with a small surplus) Both Peter Clark and Fiona Snedden are Liberal Party sitting Councillors. Fiona Snedden will have to poll 2% to 3% above Peter Clark who is standing on the Garry Morgan Ticket in order to win the seat. Fellow Liberal member, Robert Doyle has placed both Fiona Snedden and Peter Clark at the bottom of their ticket adding to speculation of dissatisfaction at Doyle's candidacy.

The main winner in the Council election will be John So's refugees who are likely to win 4 out of 7 Council seats (Jetter, Ong, Shanahan and Louey) If either Catherine Ng or Robert Doyle win the Lord Mayor's election John So's team will directly influence six of the overall nine council positions.

* There is a conspiracy theory that Jeremy Simpson, John So's Strategist, has played all sides of the political spectrum by placing his team members in each of the camps.

If voting below the line for the Council (7 positions) we would advocate a first preference for Jane Shelton. Jane has the experience and credentials to be our candidate of choice from a Labor Party perspective.

If voting Liberal then we would advocate a vote for Fiona Snedden.