Tuesday, August 24, 2010

Greening Melbourne

The results of the Melbourne Federal Election has raised the bar in the forthcoming State election with the seats of Melbourne, Richmond and Brunswick up for grabs.

Analysis of the results show that both Labor and the Liberal Party lost votes to the Greens. The Greens "Its time" "This time I will vote Green" campaign hit its mark.

35% was impressive and beyond expectations. What was also of interest was that the Liberal vote declined from 24% down to 19% indicating that the Liberal party may have played dead in the campaign. Other parties also experienced a drop in their vote

Informal votes (19%) , Sex Party (1.8%*), Family First (43%) and the Greens (58%) all produced an increase (Expressed as a percentage *Sex Party a first time entrant).

At the same time the Liberal Party (-15%), ALP (-20%) and the Democrats (-58%) all experienced a decline in support. The Democrats as a percentage of their support being the greatest loser.

Much of the unexpected win was without any doubt a pox on both your houses. The tell tale sign being the low turnout which at present is 20% below expectation.





First Preferences
Polling Places Returned: 42 of 49 Enrolment: 102,879 Turnout: 70.72%
Candidate Party Votes % Swing (%)
PEARSON, Georgia Family First 1,005 1.43 +0.43
BANDT, Adam Australian Greens 25,387 36.10 +13.30
MURRAY, Joel Australian Sex Party 1,244 1.77 +1.77
COLLYER, David Australian Democrats 419 0.60 -0.83
GREEN, Penelope Secular Party of Australia 470 0.67 +0.67
BOWTELL, Cath Australian Labor Party 27,771 39.49 -10.02
OLSEN, Simon Liberal 14,030 19.95 -3.54
...... Citizens Electoral Council of Australia 0 0.00 -0.67
...... Socialist Equality Party 0 0.00 -0.48
...... Other 0 0.00 -0.62
FORMAL
70,326 96.66 -0.54
INFORMAL
2,428 3.34 +0.54
TOTAL
72,754 70.72 -20.78

Two Candidate Preferred
Polling Places Returned: 42 of 49 Turnout: 70.72%
Candidate Party Votes This Election (%) Last Election (%) Swing (%)
BANDT, Adam Australian Greens 39,172 55.70 45.29 +10.41
BOWTELL, Cath Australian Labor Party 31,154 44.30 54.71 -10.41

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